Michael Burry, the physician-turned-investor famed for predicting and profiting from the 2008 financial crisis, is renowned for his meticulous research and contrarian investment strategies. While he hasn’t penned his own investment book, his investment philosophy, stock selection process, and risk management techniques can be gleaned from interviews, shareholder letters from his Scion Capital days, and the book and film adaptation of Michael Lewis’s “The Big Short.” Several books indirectly offer insights into Burry’s approach:
Key Insights from “The Big Short”:
“The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine” provides a detailed account of Burry’s early success. It highlights his:
- Deep Dive Due Diligence: Burry painstakingly analyzed mortgage-backed securities, reading the prospectuses that others ignored. He understood the inherent risks within the subprime mortgage market by examining individual loans.
- Value Investing Principles: He looked for undervalued assets, specifically focusing on mortgage bonds he believed were inaccurately rated.
- Contrarian Thinking: He went against the prevailing Wall Street consensus, recognizing the unsustainability of the housing bubble.
- Conviction & Patience: Despite facing investor skepticism and margin calls, Burry remained steadfast in his conviction, holding his positions until they paid off.
Indirectly Relevant Texts:
While not directly about Burry, the following books contain principles and strategies that align with his investment style:
- “Security Analysis” by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd: Often considered the bible of value investing, this book emphasizes fundamental analysis, margin of safety, and identifying undervalued securities. Burry, a self-taught investor, learned from Graham’s principles.
- “The Intelligent Investor” by Benjamin Graham: A more accessible version of “Security Analysis,” this book teaches readers how to avoid substantial errors and develop long-term investing strategies. The concepts of Mr. Market and intrinsic value are crucial.
- “You Can Be a Stock Market Genius” by Joel Greenblatt: This book focuses on special situation investing, such as spin-offs, bankruptcies, and restructurings. While Burry’s focus wasn’t solely on special situations, he often looked for complex and overlooked opportunities.
- “Fooled by Randomness” and “The Black Swan” by Nassim Nicholas Taleb: These books explore the impact of randomness and unpredictable events on financial markets. Burry’s preparedness for unforeseen risks, as shown in “The Big Short,” mirrors some of Taleb’s ideas.
Learning from Burry’s Actions:
Beyond specific titles, learning about Burry’s investment approach also involves:
- Reading His Letters: Scouring the internet for old shareholder letters from Scion Capital provides invaluable insight into his investment thinking. These letters reveal his reasoning behind specific investments and his overall market outlook.
- Analyzing His Current Holdings: Following Burry’s 13F filings, which disclose his fund’s equity holdings, offers clues about his current investment themes and preferred sectors. However, it’s essential to remember that these filings only provide a snapshot in time.
- Understanding Behavioral Finance: Burry’s success stemmed partly from recognizing irrational market behavior. Studying behavioral finance helps understand market bubbles, investor biases, and how to profit from them.
In conclusion, while Michael Burry hasn’t authored an investment book, understanding his journey through “The Big Short” and studying books that embody value investing, special situations, and risk management offer valuable insights into his unique and successful investment approach.